Prediction Markets

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Hike 25bps

Fed maintains rate

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts

Exactly 1 cut

Number of rate hikes in 2026?

Exactly 2

Exactly 1

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Above 2.75%

Above 4.00%

Next Fed rate hike?

Before July 2027

Before 2027

SOFR for October 15, 2026

Exactly 3.89%

Exactly 3.86%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Above 4.00%

Above 4.25%

Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Lorie Logan

Neel Kashkari

October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

Rate: No change, Dissents: >0

Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0

Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Above 4.25%

Above 4.50%

How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting?

1

0

Fed decision in Jul 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

Exactly 2

Exactly 3

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Fed decision in Oct 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Hike >25bps

Total Fed dissents in 2026

Exactly 7

Exactly 9

Fed median dot plot in December 2026

Above 4.1%

Above 4.2%

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

0 cuts

1 cut

Fed decision in Dec 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

Fed decision in Mar 2027?

Hike 25bps

Fed maintains rate

Fed decision in Apr 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Fed decision in Jan 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Total Fed dissents in 2027

13+

Exactly 0

Next Fed rate cut?

Before July 2028

Before 2028

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Dot Plot Omitted

Reserve President Rejected

Fed funds rate at end of 2032

Above 3.25%

Above 1.00%

Fed funds rate at end of 2036

Above 3.25%

Above 4.25%

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?

Above 4.25%

Above 4.75%

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