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Economics Prediction Markets

Fed decision in Sep 2026?
Hike 25bps
Fed maintains rate
Sep 16 @ 5:00 PM
Next Fed rate hike?
Before July 2027
Before 2027
$6,993,457 vol
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
Above 2.75%
Above 3.75%
Sep 16 @ 5:00 PM
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Exactly 0 cuts
Exactly 1 cut
Jan 1 @ 3:00 AM
Fed rate cut before 2027?
Jan 1 @ 3:00 AM
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
Oct 28 @ 5:00 PM
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
Dec 9 @ 6:00 PM
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
Above 3.75%
Above 4.00%
Dec 9 @ 6:00 PM
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
Jan 1 @ 3:00 PM
How many dissenting votes at the September Fed meeting?
3
0
Sep 16 @ 4:00 PM
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
0 cuts
1 cuts
Jan 1 @ 3:00 AM
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027
Exactly 1
Exactly 0
Jan 1 @ 3:00 AM
September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents
Rate: No change, Dissents: >0
Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: >0
Sep 16 @ 5:00 PM
Fed decision in Jun 2027?
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
$47,033 vol
Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting?
Beth Hammack
Lorie Logan
Sep 16 @ 5:00 PM
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
Above 3.75%
Above 4.00%
Oct 28 @ 5:00 PM
SOFR at end of Q4 2026
Above 4.00%
Above 4.50%
Jan 4 @ 12:00 PM
Fed decision in Jan 2028?
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
$14,176 vol
Fed funds rate at end of 2027
Above 3.75%
Above 4.00%
$42,202 vol
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
Above 3.75%
Above 4.25%
Oct 1 @ 10:00 AM
Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?
Jan 1 @ 3:00 AM
Fed decision in Jan 2027?
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
Jan 27 @ 6:00 PM
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?
Above 3.25%
Above 3.75%
Apr 28 @ 5:00 PM
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?
Above 3.25%
Above 4.00%
Mar 17 @ 5:00 PM
Fed funds rate at end of 2036
Above 3.00%
Above 3.25%
$4,694 vol
Fed decision in Sep 2027?
Fed maintains rate
Cut 25bps
$34,739 vol
SOFR for August 31, 2026
Exactly 3.62%
Exactly 3.61%
Sep 1 @ 11:00 AM
Fed funds rate at end of 2034
Above 3.25%
Above 3.50%
$4,261 vol
Fed funds rate at end of 2035
Above 3.00%
Above 2.50%
$4,199 vol
Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?
Above 3.50%
Above 3.75%
Jan 27 @ 6:00 PM
Fed decision in Apr 2027?
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
Apr 28 @ 5:00 PM
Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026
Above $6.8 trillion
Above $6.9 trillion
Dec 31 @ 9:00 PM